This site will look much better in a browser that supports web standards, but it is accessible to any browser or Internet device.

Arctic Climate Research at the University of Illinois

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Additional Models

Navigate

Projected Change of Discontinuous Permafrost in the Arctic

Climate Model: Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, CGCM3.1 Model, T63

The -2 deg. C isotherm of annual mean surface air temperature can be used as a reasonable approximation of the southern limit of discontinuous permafrost in the Arctic. One of the unknown impacts of a warming Arctic is the extent to which Arctic permafrost will degrade or melt entirely.

These animations show the projected change in the -2 deg. C isotherm (discontinuous permafrost extent) through the 20th- and 21st- centuries for each of 11 general circulation models (GCMs).

Pictures of structural damage from permafrost change in the Arctic

Output from additional global climate models are available in the left-column menu.